Best

1957

Best 4

-

(Best 3: 1909)
GP Ranking

#44

Tournament History

Counted
Tournament
Points
TPR
Link
Mavens Open5.5/81957
Kakamega Open4.0/61901
Coast Open3.5/61870

Qualification Odds

3.8%−1.8
Unlikely

Factors

Current Best 3
1909
Chance of a 4th result
81.7%
Projected Best 4
1947
Projected cutoff
2038
Rating
2010
Form (median TPR 1910)
−25
Late-season boost
+8
Expected TPR
1984 ±138
Events entered
5 of 18
Walkover risk
9.8%
Expected new results
1.4
PlaysChanceOdds
None18.3%<0.1%
1 more38.7%0.1%
2 more29.7%4.3%
3 more11.3%16.5%
4 more1.9%31.4%
5 more0.1%–

Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are only approximate.

Magana Ben - Chess Kenya Grand Prix