Best

2020

Best 4

1945

GP Ranking

#17

Qualification Odds

Outside chance
25.1%6.1pp

Factors

Rating
1949
Form (median TPR 1956)
+2
Late-season boost
+8
Expected TPR
1950 ±143
Expected TPR per event
1950
Chance an event beats it
67.5%
Events entered
9 of 18
Walkover risk
22.6%
Expected new results
2.5
Current Best 4
1945
Projected Best 4
2011
Projected cutoff
2038
PlaysChanceOdds
None2.5%<0.1%
1 more15.7%8.0%
2 more32.6%19.0%
3 more32.1%31.3%
4 more14.4%42.7%
5 more2.6%54.1%

Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are probabilistic estimates and only approximate.

Tournament History

Counted
Tournament
Points
TPR
Link
Eldoret Open5.0/62014
Mavens Open4.5/8
1931
Sataranji Africa Chess Festival5.0/61964
1st NCC GP0.0/6
0
Kitale Open5.0/62020
Minichess GP4.0/61781
Jumuiya Open2.5/6
1688