Lwanga Aguda
FIDE ID: 10801529Best
1940
Best 4
-
(Best 2: 1831)Avg
1831
Tournaments
2
GP Ranking
#90
Tournament History
| Counted | Tournament | Points | TPR | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sataranji Africa Chess Festival | 3.5/6 | 1721 | ||
| Nairobi County Open | 4.0/6 | 1940 |
Qualification Odds
4.9%+1.8
Unlikely
Factors
- Current Best 2
- 1830
- Chance of a 4th result
- 31.2%
- Projected Best 4
- 1839
- Projected cutoff
- 2038
- Rating
- 1836
- Form (median TPR 1840)
- +1
- Late-season boost
- +8
- Expected TPR
- 1836 ±138
- Events entered
- 3 of 18
- Walkover risk
- 6.2%
- Expected new results
- 1.1
- Enters
- 61.3%
- Wins if entered
- 7.8%
| Plays | Chance | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| None | 25.0% | 5.1% |
| 1 more | 43.8% | 4.7% |
| 2 more | 25.0% | 4.8% |
| 3 more | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| 4 more | 0.4% | – |
| 5 more | <0.1% | – |
Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are only approximate.