Ndirangu, Joyce Nyaruai

FIDE ID: 10802886

Best

2455

Best 4

2164

Avg

1930

Tournaments

9

GP Ranking

#1

Qualification Odds

Lock

>99.9%

Factors

Rating: 1888
Form (median TPR 1818): −18
Late-season boost: +8
Expected TPR: 1943 ±172

Expected TPR per event: 1943
Chance an event beats it: 58.9%

Events entered: 13 of 18
Walkover risk: 9.9%
Expected new results: 2.9

Current Best 4: 2164
Projected Best 4: 2209
Projected cutoff: 1800

Plays	Chance	Odds
None	0.9%	–
1 more	8.8%	>99.9%
2 more	26.3%	>99.9%
3 more	35.9%	>99.9%
4 more	22.4%	>99.9%
5 more	5.7%	>99.9%

Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are probabilistic estimates and only approximate.

Tournament History

Counted	Tournament	Starting Rank	Rating	Points	TPR	Link
	Eldoret Open	2	1821	6.0/6	2455
	Mavens Open	3	1855	5.0/8	1727
	Kiambu Open	2	1834	5.0/6	1872
	Kakamega OpenOpen	19	1834	4.0/6	1814
	Quo Vadis Nyeri OpenOpen	7	1841	6.0/8	1640
	Coast Open	5	1831	5.0/6	1915
	Minichess GP	1	1862	6.0/6	2415
	Jumuiya Open	1	1831	4.0/6	1697
	Nairobi County OpenOpen	13	1862	4.0/6	1839

Ndirangu, Joyce Nyaruai - Chess Kenya Grand Prix