Methu, Joseph Muragu
FIDE ID: 10804714Best
1995
Best 4
1956
Avg
1956
Tournaments
4
GP Ranking
#13
Tournament History
| Counted | Tournament | Points | TPR | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavens Open | 5.5/8 | 1944 | ||
| Kiambu Open | 4.0/6 | 1935 | ||
| Kakamega Open | 4.5/6 | 1949 | ||
| Coast Open | 3.0/6 | 1995 |
Qualification Odds
5.8%−2.6
Long shot
Factors
- Current Best 4
- 1956
- Projected Best 4
- 1976
- Projected cutoff
- 2038
- Expected TPR per event
- 1946
- Chance an event beats it
- 46.4%
- Rating
- 1944
- Form (median TPR 1956)
- +3
- Late-season boost
- +8
- Expected TPR
- 1946 ±125
- Events entered
- 7 of 18
- Walkover risk
- 13.0%
- Expected new results
- 2.1
| Plays | Chance | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| None | 4.7% | <0.1% |
| 1 more | 23.5% | 0.6% |
| 2 more | 36.5% | 3.8% |
| 3 more | 25.7% | 10.0% |
| 4 more | 8.5% | 17.7% |
| 5 more | 1.1% | 21.3% |
Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are only approximate.