Best

2084

Best 4

1975

GP Ranking

#10

Tournament History

Counted
Tournament
Points
TPR
Link
Kisumu Open4.0/62024
Kiambu Open5.0/62084
Coast Open2.5/61791
Minichess GP5.0/61999
Jumuiya Open3.5/61783

Qualification Odds

46.3%−4.7
Toss-up

Factors

Current Best 4
1974
Projected Best 4
2033
Projected cutoff
2038
Expected TPR per event
1925
Chance an event beats it
78.0%
Rating
1899
Form (median TPR 2008)
+27
Late-season boost
+8
Expected TPR
1925 ±143
Events entered
7 of 18
Walkover risk
4.3%
Expected new results
2.7
PlaysChanceOdds
None0.9%–
1 more10.5%21.5%
2 more29.5%40.0%
3 more36.5%50.4%
4 more19.0%60.1%
5 more3.5%67.1%

Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are only approximate.