Wanjiru Lucy

FIDE ID: 10808590
Best

1781

Best 4

1733

GP Ranking

#10

Tournament History

Counted
Tournament
Points
TPR
Link
Mavens Open4.0/81725
Sataranji Africa Chess Festival4.5/61730
Kiambu Open3.0/61660
Minichess GP5.0/61781
Nairobi County OpenOpen4.0/61695

Qualification Odds

12.6%−4.4
Long shot

Factors

Current Best 4
1733
Projected Best 4
1756
Projected cutoff
1801
Expected TPR per event
1745
Chance an event beats it
61.0%
Rating
1675
Form (median TPR 1665)
−3
Late-season boost
+8
Expected TPR
1745 ±127
Events entered
6 of 18
Walkover risk
5.8%
Expected new results
2.4
PlaysChanceOdds
None1.7%0.6%
1 more15.5%3.1%
2 more37.5%9.5%
3 more33.4%16.5%
4 more10.9%24.7%
5 more1.0%37.6%

Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are only approximate.

Wanjiru Lucy - Chess Kenya Grand Prix