Wanjiru Lucy
FIDE ID: 10808590Best
1781
Best 4
1733
Avg
1718
Tournaments
5
GP Ranking
#10
Qualification Odds
Long shot11.3%3.7pp
Factors
- Rating
- 1660
- Form (median TPR 1665)
- +1
- Late-season boost
- +8
- Expected TPR
- 1734 ±127
- Expected TPR per event
- 1734
- Chance an event beats it
- 58.1%
- Events entered
- 6 of 18
- Walkover risk
- 5.8%
- Expected new results
- 2.4
- Current Best 4
- 1733
- Projected Best 4
- 1753
- Projected cutoff
- 1800
| Plays | Chance | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| None | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| 1 more | 15.5% | 3.6% |
| 2 more | 38.2% | 7.6% |
| 3 more | 33.2% | 14.8% |
| 4 more | 10.6% | 24.0% |
| 5 more | 1.0% | 37.9% |
Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are probabilistic estimates and only approximate.
Tournament History
| Counted | Tournament | Points | TPR | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavens Open | 4.0/8 | 1725 | ||
| Sataranji Africa Chess Festival | 4.5/6 | 1730 | ||
| Kiambu Open | 3.0/6 | 1660 | ||
| Minichess GP | 5.0/6 | 1781 | ||
| Nairobi County OpenOpen | 4.0/6 | 1695 |