Muturi, Erica Mumbi
FIDE ID: 10812091Best
1639
Best 4
-
(Best 1: 1639)Avg
1639
Tournaments
1
GP Ranking
#79
Qualification Odds
Unlikely1.5%0.2pp
Factors
- Rating
- 1686
- Form (median TPR 1616)
- −18
- Late-season boost
- +8
- Expected TPR
- 1699 ±158
- Events entered
- 2 of 18
- Walkover risk
- 15.2%
- Expected new results
- 0.6
- Current Best 1
- 1639
- Chance of a 4th result
- 1.5%
- Projected Best 4
- 1676
- Projected cutoff
- 1801
| Plays | Chance | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| None | 50.2% | 1.5% |
| 1 more | 37.9% | 1.4% |
| 2 more | 10.4% | 1.8% |
| 3 more | 1.4% | 2.2% |
| 4 more | 0.1% | – |
| 5 more | <0.1% | – |
- Enters
- 42.0%
- Wins if entered
- 3.6%
Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are probabilistic estimates and only approximate.
Tournament History
| Counted | Tournament | Points | TPR | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kisumu Open | 4.0/6 | 1639 |