Okonga, Hugh Misiko

FIDE ID: 10813420
Best

2007

Best 4

1949

GP Ranking

#16

Tournament History

Counted
Tournament
Points
TPR
Link
Kisumu Open4.0/61895
Mavens Open5.0/81984
Sataranji Africa Chess Festival5.0/62007
Kakamega Open3.5/61700
Coast Open3.5/61909
Minichess GP4.5/61830
Jumuiya Open1.5/6
1490

Qualification Odds

14.8%−4.7
Long shot

Factors

Current Best 4
1949
Projected Best 4
1995
Projected cutoff
2038
Expected TPR per event
1925
Chance an event beats it
55.2%
Rating
1933
Form (median TPR 1904)
−7
Late-season boost
+8
Expected TPR
1925 ±129
Events entered
12 of 18
Walkover risk
6.2%
Expected new results
3.5
PlaysChanceOdds
None0.1%–
1 more2.5%0.8%
2 more13.2%5.6%
3 more31.9%11.6%
4 more36.0%17.8%
5 more16.3%24.2%

Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are only approximate.