Best

1849

Best 4

-

(Best 3: 1822)
GP Ranking

#20

Qualification Odds

Very likely
93.4%3.2pp

Factors

Rating
1844
Form (median TPR 1850)
+2
Late-season boost
+8
Expected TPR
1842 ±99
Events entered
7 of 18
Walkover risk
1.5%
Expected new results
2.2
Current Best 3
1822
Chance of a 4th result
95.5%
Projected Best 4
1852
Projected cutoff
1800
PlaysChanceOdds
None4.5%14.4%
1 more22.8%91.7%
2 more36.8%98.1%
3 more26.3%99.4%
4 more8.7%99.5%
5 more1.1%99.5%
Enters
61.3%
Wins if entered
25.9%

Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are probabilistic estimates and only approximate.

Tournament History

Counted
Tournament
Points
TPR
Link
Mavens OpenOpen4.5/81849
Kiambu Open4.5/61778
Minichess GPOpen4.0/61838
Kaloki Zuri - Chess Kenya Grand Prix