Sagwa Hillary
FIDE ID: 10814850Best
2115
Best 4
1949
Avg
1870
Tournaments
6
GP Ranking
#15
Tournament History
| Counted | Tournament | Points | TPR | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kisumu Open | 4.0/6 | 1909 | ||
| Mavens Open | 5.0/8 | 1765 | ||
| Sataranji Africa Chess Festival | 4.0/6 | 1848 | ||
| Kiambu Open | 4.0/6 | 1923 | ||
| Quo Vadis Nyeri Open | 7.0/8 | 2115 | ||
| 1st NCC GP | 3.0/6 | 1662 |
Qualification Odds
5.1%−2.4
Long shot
Factors
- Current Best 4
- 1949
- Projected Best 4
- 1973
- Projected cutoff
- 2038
- Expected TPR per event
- 1843
- Chance an event beats it
- 46.7%
- Rating
- 1830
- Form (median TPR 1888)
- +14
- Late-season boost
- +8
- Expected TPR
- 1843 ±146
- Events entered
- 9 of 18
- Walkover risk
- 4.1%
- Expected new results
- 2.8
| Plays | Chance | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| None | 0.7% | – |
| 1 more | 8.9% | 0.4% |
| 2 more | 27.5% | 2.2% |
| 3 more | 36.0% | 5.2% |
| 4 more | 21.9% | 8.7% |
| 5 more | 5.0% | 12.4% |
Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are only approximate.