Kagwiria Francisca
FIDE ID: 10817085Best
1694
Best 4
-
(Best 3: 1677)Avg
1677
Tournaments
3
GP Ranking
#23
Qualification Odds
Unlikely0.1%0.2pp
Factors
- Rating
- 1589
- Form (median TPR 1623)
- +9
- Late-season boost
- +8
- Expected TPR
- 1671 ±138
- Events entered
- 3 of 18
- Walkover risk
- 7.5%
- Expected new results
- 1.0
- Current Best 3
- 1677
- Chance of a 4th result
- 69.0%
- Projected Best 4
- 1675
- Projected cutoff
- 1801
| Plays | Chance | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| None | 31.0% | <0.1% |
| 1 more | 42.8% | <0.1% |
| 2 more | 21.0% | 0.3% |
| 3 more | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| 4 more | 0.5% | – |
| 5 more | <0.1% | – |
Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are probabilistic estimates and only approximate.
Tournament History
| Counted | Tournament | Points | TPR | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavens Open | 4.0/8 | 1688 | ||
| Sataranji Africa Chess Festival | 4.0/6 | 1649 | ||
| Kiambu Open | 4.0/6 | 1694 |