Maina, Elizabeth Cassidy

FIDE ID: 10822755
Best

2486

Best 4

-

(Best 3: 1988)
GP Ranking

#19

Tournament History

Counted
Tournament
Points
TPR
Link
Eldoret Open4.5/61783
Kisumu Open6.0/62486
Kitale OpenOpen4.0/61695

Qualification Odds

94.6%−0.4
Very likely

Factors

Current Best 3
1988
Chance of a 4th result
92.6%
Projected Best 4
2026
Projected cutoff
1801
Rating
1964
Form (median TPR 1760)
−51
Late-season boost
+8
Expected TPR
1944 ±174
Events entered
5 of 18
Plays again (near lock)
95.0%
Walkover risk
10.4%
Expected new results
1.9
Enters
61.3%
Wins if entered
48.3%
PlaysChanceOdds
None7.4%27.3%
1 more26.8%>99.9%
2 more36.9%>99.9%
3 more21.8%>99.9%
4 more6.4%>99.9%
5 more0.6%–

Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are only approximate.

Maina, Elizabeth Cassidy - Chess Kenya Grand Prix