Maina, Elizabeth Cassidy
FIDE ID: 10822755Best
2486
Best 4
-
(Best 3: 1988)Avg
1988
Tournaments
3
GP Ranking
#19
Qualification Odds
Very likely94.8%0.4pp
Factors
- Rating
- 1964
- Form (median TPR 1760)
- −51
- Late-season boost
- +8
- Expected TPR
- 1944 ±174
- Events entered
- 5 of 18
- Plays again (near lock)
- 95.0%
- Walkover risk
- 10.4%
- Expected new results
- 2.0
- Current Best 3
- 1988
- Chance of a 4th result
- 92.7%
- Projected Best 4
- 2025
- Projected cutoff
- 1800
| Plays | Chance | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| None | 7.3% | 28.4% |
| 1 more | 26.8% | >99.9% |
| 2 more | 37.1% | >99.9% |
| 3 more | 21.6% | >99.9% |
| 4 more | 6.6% | >99.9% |
| 5 more | 0.6% | – |
- Enters
- 61.3%
- Wins if entered
- 46.7%
Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are probabilistic estimates and only approximate.
Tournament History
| Counted | Tournament | Points | TPR | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldoret Open | 4.5/6 | 1783 | ||
| Kisumu Open | 6.0/6 | 2486 | ||
| Kitale OpenOpen | 4.0/6 | 1695 |