Ngani, Arianne Hera
FIDE ID: 10827986Best
1843
Best 4
1729
Avg
1729
Tournaments
4
GP Ranking
#11
Qualification Odds
Outside chance27.0%25.5pp
Factors
- Rating
- 1640
- Form (median TPR 1738)
- +24
- Late-season boost
- +8
- Expected TPR
- 1695 ±158
- Expected TPR per event
- 1695
- Chance an event beats it
- 76.3%
- Events entered
- 4 of 18
- Walkover risk
- 5.8%
- Expected new results
- 1.8
- Current Best 4
- 1729
- Projected Best 4
- 1773
- Projected cutoff
- 1800
| Plays | Chance | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| None | 7.2% | 1.0% |
| 1 more | 30.6% | 18.3% |
| 2 more | 38.0% | 29.9% |
| 3 more | 19.8% | 39.7% |
| 4 more | 4.1% | 47.2% |
| 5 more | 0.3% | – |
- Enters
- 42.0%
- Wins if entered
- 3.1%
Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are probabilistic estimates and only approximate.
Tournament History
| Counted | Tournament | Points | TPR | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coast Open | 4.0/6 | 1764 | ||
| Minichess GP | 4.5/6 | 1757 | ||
| Jumuiya Open | 3.0/6 | 1551 | ||
| Nairobi County OpenOpen | 4.0/6 | 1843 |