Manyeki Nathaniel
FIDE ID: 10831029Best
2125
Best 4
2035
Avg
1970
Tournaments
6
GP Ranking
#3
Tournament History
| Counted | Tournament | Points | TPR | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavens Open | 5.5/8 | 1876 | ||
| Sataranji Africa Chess Festival | 4.5/6 | 1935 | ||
| Kiambu Open | 3.5/6 | 1801 | ||
| Minichess GP | 5.0/6 | 1970 | ||
| Jumuiya Open | 5.0/6 | 2110 | ||
| Nairobi County Open | 5.0/6 | 2125 |
Qualification Odds
95.4%+41.9
Lock
Factors
- Current Best 4
- 2035
- Projected Best 4
- 2084
- Projected cutoff
- 2038
- Expected TPR per event
- 2023
- Chance an event beats it
- 69.1%
- Rating
- 2032
- Form (median TPR 1948)
- −21
- Late-season boost
- +8
- Expected TPR
- 2023 ±145
- Events entered
- 7 of 18
- Walkover risk
- 4.0%
- Expected new results
- 2.3
- Enters
- 28.0%
- Wins if entered
- 43.9%
| Plays | Chance | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| None | 1.6% | 74.0% |
| 1 more | 17.0% | 89.5% |
| 2 more | 39.8% | 95.7% |
| 3 more | 33.0% | 98.2% |
| 4 more | 8.2% | 99.0% |
| 5 more | 0.6% | – |
Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are only approximate.