Best

1639

Best 4

1626

GP Ranking

#16

Qualification Odds

Unlikely
0.3%

Factors

Rating
1575
Form (median TPR 1607)
+8
Late-season boost
+8
Expected TPR
1614 ±145
Expected TPR per event
1614
Chance an event beats it
49.4%
Events entered
4 of 18
Walkover risk
6.1%
Expected new results
1.5
Current Best 4
1626
Projected Best 4
1629
Projected cutoff
1800
PlaysChanceOdds
None13.7%0.2%
1 more39.2%0.2%
2 more34.1%0.2%
3 more11.5%0.3%
4 more1.5%1.3%
5 more<0.1%–

Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are probabilistic estimates and only approximate.

Tournament History

Counted
Tournament
Points
TPR
Link
Mavens Open4.0/81639
Kiambu Open3.5/61622
Minichess GP4.0/61638
Jumuiya Open3.5/61604
Kuka Riziki - Chess Kenya Grand Prix