Muli, Faraja Mumo

FIDE ID: 10842357
Best

2168

Best 4

2011

GP Ranking

#7

Tournament History

Counted
Tournament
Points
TPR
Link
Mavens Open4.5/81738
Kiambu Open5.0/62168
1st NCC GP4.0/61906
Jumuiya Open4.5/62031
Nairobi County Open4.5/61939

Qualification Odds

85.1%−5.3
Very likely

Factors

Current Best 4
2011
Projected Best 4
2074
Projected cutoff
2038
Expected TPR per event
2000
Chance an event beats it
69.3%
Rating
2005
Form (median TPR 1935)
−17
Late-season boost
+8
Expected TPR
2000 ±154
Events entered
8 of 18
Walkover risk
4.0%
Expected new results
2.8
Enters
28.0%
Wins if entered
37.5%
PlaysChanceOdds
None0.6%–
1 more7.1%57.8%
2 more29.5%80.5%
3 more42.1%89.3%
4 more18.6%94.3%
5 more2.0%97.3%

Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are only approximate.