Simiyu, Baraka Daniel

FIDE ID: 10842810
Best

1817

Best 4

1766

GP Ranking

#31

Tournament History

Counted
Tournament
Points
TPR
Link
Kakamega Open4.0/61817
Quo Vadis Nyeri Open5.0/81616
Coast Open2.5/61785
Minichess GP4.0/61660
Jumuiya Open3.5/61802

Qualification Odds

1.0%−0.2
Unlikely

Factors

Current Best 4
1766
Projected Best 4
1791
Projected cutoff
2038
Expected TPR per event
1766
Chance an event beats it
65.6%
Rating
1745
Form (median TPR 1781)
+9
Late-season boost
+8
Expected TPR
1766 ±156
Events entered
5 of 18
Walkover risk
11.7%
Expected new results
1.3
Enters
28.0%
Wins if entered
3.6%
PlaysChanceOdds
None22.6%0.9%
1 more40.3%1.1%
2 more27.1%0.8%
3 more8.6%1.6%
4 more1.4%1.8%
5 more0.1%–

Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are only approximate.