Waweru, Davidson Mugo

FIDE ID: 10842853
Best

1957

Best 4

1803

GP Ranking

#28

Tournament History

Counted
Tournament
Points
TPR
Link
Mavens Open4.0/81765
Kiambu Open3.5/61642
Quo Vadis Nyeri Open6.0/81695
Minichess GP4.5/61957
Jumuiya Open2.5/61686
Nairobi County Open4.0/61795

Qualification Odds

4.1%−0.2
Unlikely

Factors

Current Best 4
1803
Projected Best 4
1855
Projected cutoff
2038
Expected TPR per event
1801
Chance an event beats it
68.3%
Rating
1810
Form (median TPR 1726)
−21
Late-season boost
+8
Expected TPR
1801 ±156
Events entered
9 of 18
Walkover risk
8.1%
Expected new results
2.3
Enters
61.3%
Wins if entered
6.5%
PlaysChanceOdds
None2.3%5.2%
1 more18.5%4.1%
2 more38.8%3.7%
3 more30.5%4.0%
4 more9.2%5.3%
5 more0.8%–

Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are only approximate.