Nashipae Bella

FIDE ID: 10843981

Best

2049

Best 4

1973

Avg

1829

Tournaments

9

GP Ranking

#2

Ladies team qualification odds

Lock

>99.9%

Factors

Rating: 1872
Form (median TPR 1750): −30
Late-season boost: +8
Expected TPR: 1838 ±118

Expected TPR per event: 1838
Chance an event beats it: 27.0%

Events entered: 12 of 18
Walkover risk: 1.2%
Expected new results: 3.4

Current Best 4: 1973
Projected Best 4: 1985
Projected cutoff: 1800

Plays	Chance	Odds
None	0.1%	–
1 more	2.6%	>99.9%
2 more	14.3%	>99.9%
3 more	36.1%	>99.9%
4 more	36.3%	>99.9%
5 more	10.6%	>99.9%

Enters: 61.3%
Wins if entered: 28.2%

Open team qualification odds

Unlikely

<0.1%

Factors

Rating: 1872
Form (median TPR 1749): −31
Late-season boost: +8
Expected TPR: 1837 ±118

Expected TPR per event: 1837
Chance an event beats it: 83.0%

Events entered: 6 of 18
Walkover risk: 1.2%
Expected new results: 2.0

Current Best 4: 1810
Projected Best 4: 1864
Projected cutoff: 2039

Plays	Chance	Odds
None	5.2%	<0.1%
1 more	27.2%	<0.1%
2 more	38.5%	<0.1%
3 more	22.6%	<0.1%
4 more	5.9%	<0.1%
5 more	0.6%	–

Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are probabilistic estimates and only approximate.

Tournament History

Counted	Tournament	Starting Rank	Rating	Points	TPR	Link
	Eldoret OpenOpen	28	1757	4.0/6	1715
	Kisumu OpenOpen	31	1699	3.0/6	1629
	Mavens Open	9	1699	6.0/8	1912
	Sataranji Africa Chess Festival	3	1753	5.5/6	2000
	Kiambu Open	3	1800	5.0/6	1931
	1st NCC GPOpen	12	1900	3.0/6	1737
	Coast Open	4	1853	4.5/6	1746
	Minichess GPOpen	26	1831	5.0/6	2049
	Jumuiya OpenOpen	23	1831	3.0/6	1738

Nashipae Bella - Chess Kenya Grand Prix