Mwenda, Salma Nkatha
FIDE ID: 10877894Best
1789
Best 4
-
(Best 3: 1634)Avg
1634
Tournaments
3
GP Ranking
#25
Qualification Odds
Unlikely0.5%0.2pp
Factors
- Rating
- 1577
- Form (median TPR 1606)
- +7
- Late-season boost
- +8
- Expected TPR
- 1615 ±161
- Events entered
- 4 of 18
- Walkover risk
- 5.8%
- Expected new results
- 1.6
- Current Best 3
- 1634
- Chance of a 4th result
- 88.3%
- Projected Best 4
- 1641
- Projected cutoff
- 1801
| Plays | Chance | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| None | 11.7% | 0.4% |
| 1 more | 37.4% | 0.4% |
| 2 more | 35.9% | 0.5% |
| 3 more | 13.2% | 1.0% |
| 4 more | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| 5 more | 0.1% | – |
Based on 20,000 simulations using each player's rating, form, upside and how often they play. These odds are probabilistic estimates and only approximate.
Tournament History
| Counted | Tournament | Points | TPR | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiambu Open | 3.0/6 | 1518 | ||
| Minichess GP | 5.0/6 | 1789 | ||
| Nairobi County OpenOpen | 3.0/6 | 1594 |